socaltrojan31 (![[info]](http://l-stat.livejournal.com/img/userinfo.gif){kind=small} socaltrojan31) wrote,@ 2007-10-07 03:51:00 |
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Dave's Dime Week 5 Part 2
1. Louisville (-14.0) over Utah (Loss)
3. Ohio State (-7.5) over Purdue (Win)
4. Cincinnati (+4.0) over Rutgers (Win, straight up too)
5. Hawaii (-40.0) over Utah State (Loss)
THE PICKS
* - Indicates Upset Pick
$ - Indicates Money Pick
^ - Indicates Zen Pick
$ - Indicates Money Pick
^ - Indicates Zen Pick
I feel like I have way too many favorites... but maybe the NFL will calm down this week?
SUNDAY
Arizona 2 - 2 (-4.0) @ St. Louis 4 - 0 (+4.0)
Doesn't it seem more than a bit odd to you that the team that just beat the Steelers is only a 4 point favorite against a winless, Steven-Jackson-less, Marc-Bulger-less Rams team? Or, perhaps a better question, how stunned will you all be when I'm right about this one? The Rams simplify the playbook this week and everyone steps up and earns their first W of the year.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^*St. Louis
Doesn't it seem more than a bit odd to you that the team that just beat the Steelers is only a 4 point favorite against a winless, Steven-Jackson-less, Marc-Bulger-less Rams team? Or, perhaps a better question, how stunned will you all be when I'm right about this one? The Rams simplify the playbook this week and everyone steps up and earns their first W of the year.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^*St. Louis
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *St. Louis
Atlanta 1 - 3 (+8.0) @ Tennessee 2 - 1 (-8.0)
Joey Harrington has looked pretty good in his last two, but Carolina and Houston at home are a slightly different story than a well-rested Tennessee on the road. In the rare spot as favorites, the Titans will win this one comfortably with their stingy defense.
Joey Harrington has looked pretty good in his last two, but Carolina and Houston at home are a slightly different story than a well-rested Tennessee on the road. In the rare spot as favorites, the Titans will win this one comfortably with their stingy defense.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Tennessee
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Tennessee
Carolina 2 - 2 (+3.0) @ New Orleans 0 - 3 (-3.0)
The Saints were among the league's worst in the season's first 3 games. I predicted they'd falter, but this badly? After an extra week to work on the playbook and execution, I expect New Orlean's lethargic offense to wake up this week. Perhaps more importantly, Sean Peyton should have some pretty good blitz packages put together to force Carr into making some bad decisions. I'm not concerned about if this game will be a "turning point" for the Saints or not; just if they manage to win for a change.
The Saints were among the league's worst in the season's first 3 games. I predicted they'd falter, but this badly? After an extra week to work on the playbook and execution, I expect New Orlean's lethargic offense to wake up this week. Perhaps more importantly, Sean Peyton should have some pretty good blitz packages put together to force Carr into making some bad decisions. I'm not concerned about if this game will be a "turning point" for the Saints or not; just if they manage to win for a change.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New Orleans
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New Orleans
Cleveland 2 - 2 (+16.5) @ New England 4 - 0 (-16.5)
This spread disgusts me, because in the NFL, any spread over +14.0 is not only a good bet value-wise, but it serves as a great motivational factor for the underdog. That said... New England so far... @NYJ 38 -14, SD 38 - 14, BUF 38 - 7, @CIN 34 - 14... am I really supposed to pick against them at home? I can't, not until they show some kind of weakness! I mean cheaters or not, they are really good!
This spread disgusts me, because in the NFL, any spread over +14.0 is not only a good bet value-wise, but it serves as a great motivational factor for the underdog. That said... New England so far... @NYJ 38 -14, SD 38 - 14, BUF 38 - 7, @CIN 34 - 14... am I really supposed to pick against them at home? I can't, not until they show some kind of weakness! I mean cheaters or not, they are really good!
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New England
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New England
Detroit 3 - 1 (+3.5) @ Washington 2 - 1 (-3.5)
Despite Detroit's abysmal history in Washington, I just don't see the Redskins being able to either CONTAIN this offense or KEEP UP with it. Without being able to do that, how can they win?
Despite Detroit's abysmal history in Washington, I just don't see the Redskins being able to either CONTAIN this offense or KEEP UP with it. Without being able to do that, how can they win?
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Detroit
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Detroit
Jacksonville 2 - 1 (-2.5) @ Kansas City 2 - 2 (+2.5)
Kansas City is a great home team and Jacksonville isn't as good as their record would lead you to believe they are... that said, I don't see the Chiefs having any energy left in the tank after the huge upset in San Diego, and this game is a prime opportunity for a let down.
Kansas City is a great home team and Jacksonville isn't as good as their record would lead you to believe they are... that said, I don't see the Chiefs having any energy left in the tank after the huge upset in San Diego, and this game is a prime opportunity for a let down.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^Jacksonville
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Jacksonville
Miami 0 - 4 (+5.5) @ Houston 2 - 2 (-5.5)
Miami has been the laughing stock of the league this year, and they just have too many leaders on this team to let that continue. Their most glaring weakness, the run defense, won't be tested too hard against the Texans, and they'll find a way to win this game, even if it may be ugly.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Miami
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: *Miami
New York Jets 1 - 3 (+3.5) @ New York Giants 2 - 2 (-3.5)
About as close to a lock as I could find this week. The Giants should have no trouble scoring, and if the Giants' defensive line is half as good as it was against Philly, we should see a very similar point total for the Jets. Factor in that it is a Giants home game, and you are good to go.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: New York Giants
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: New York Giants
Seattle 3 - 1 (+6.0) @ Pittsburgh 3 - 1 (-6.0)
I can't stop going back and forth on this game, as I think Seattle is a solid team and I'm still not sure what to expect from Pittsburgh. Being back at home after taking their first loss of the season last week should be enough motivation to pick up a win here though.
I can't stop going back and forth on this game, as I think Seattle is a solid team and I'm still not sure what to expect from Pittsburgh. Being back at home after taking their first loss of the season last week should be enough motivation to pick up a win here though.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Pittsburgh
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay 3 - 1 (+10.0) @ Indianapolis 4 - 0 (-10.0)
As long as Tampa Bay doesn't let the Colts get too comfortable too early, they should be able to keep it a good game right up to the end. I won't be surprised at all if this ends up being a defensive struggle.
As long as Tampa Bay doesn't let the Colts get too comfortable too early, they should be able to keep it a good game right up to the end. I won't be surprised at all if this ends up being a defensive struggle.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: *Tampa Bay
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Indianapolis
Baltimore 2 - 2 (-3.5) @ San Francisco 2 - 2 (+3.5)
Baltimore has been very beatable this season, but they are still a dangerous team. I just don't think SF will be able to move the ball this week, especially without Alex Smith. Baltimore at only -3.5 is a bargain.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Baltimore
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Baltimore
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Baltimore
San Diego 1 - 3 @ Denver 2 - 2 (Pick'em)
Who knows? Despite the same roster, this clearly isn't the same San Diego Chargers as the team that went 14 - 2 last year. But despite Denver being a tough environment to play in, my brain still can't register a 1 - 4, dead last in the division San Diego Charger team. They have to find a way to win here; if for nothing else, simply my sanity.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: San Diego
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: San Diego
Chicago 1 - 3 (+3.5) @ Green Bay 4 - 0 (-3.5)
I don't know how long this Packers run will last, but considering they are the better team on offense, defense, and special teams, I'm certainly taking them this week.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Green Bay
I don't know how long this Packers run will last, but considering they are the better team on offense, defense, and special teams, I'm certainly taking them this week.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Green Bay
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Green Bay
MONDAY
Dallas 4 - 0 (-10.5) @ Buffalo 1 - 3 (+10.5)
Buffalo's absolutely brutal schedule continues, and as much as I'd like to see them make this a game, I just can't find anything that leads me to believe this game will be anywhere close.
Buffalo's absolutely brutal schedule continues, and as much as I'd like to see them make this a game, I just can't find anything that leads me to believe this game will be anywhere close.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Dallas
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Dallas
THE COLLEGE NICKEL
RECORD: 18 - 17 - 0 (.514)
RECORD: 18 - 17 - 0 (.514)
5 picks from Saturday! View them here; http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0M2Eokxae
1. Louisville (-14.0) over Utah (Loss)
2. Troy (-19.0) over Florida International (Loss... by 1 point of course)
3. Ohio State (-7.5) over Purdue (Win)
4. Cincinnati (+4.0) over Rutgers (Win, straight up too)
5. Hawaii (-40.0) over Utah State (Loss)
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Questions? Comments? Suggestions? Ideas?
Questions? Comments? Suggestions? Ideas?
Love the Dime? Hate it? Should I cut it down to a nickel?
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SEND ME FEEDBACK!
